Lyseng 1-0 Naesby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 15 Sep 2024

Lyseng
1-0
Naesby
📅15/09/2024 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Denmark - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Lyseng vs Naesby Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.13
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
52%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
21%
+2.1pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.2pp
52%
Away Win
58%
-6.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.7pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lyseng v Naesby — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lyseng EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Naesby EU Bookmakers 62%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
0.95/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.42
-14% / +119% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +150%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
375 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards –

Lyseng vs Naesby Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lyseng
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Naesby
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
40% Ball Possession 60%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
04.11.2023 Lyseng Lyseng 1-1 HT 0-1 Naesby Naesby DAN3
16.09.2023 Naesby Naesby 2-2 HT 2-1 Lyseng Lyseng DAN3
10.04.2023 Lyseng Lyseng 1-1 HT 0-0 Naesby Naesby DAN3
20.08.2022 Naesby Naesby 2-1 HT 0-0 Lyseng Lyseng DAN3
11.06.2022 Lyseng Lyseng 0-2 HT 0-0 Naesby Naesby DAN3
POST-MATCH Lyseng vs Naesby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyseng squeezed past Naesby 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Naesby at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Naesby led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lyseng and 1.60 for Naesby.

What was the final score of Lyseng vs Naesby?

Lyseng 1-0 Naesby in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lyseng vs Naesby?

Before kick-off our model rated an Naesby win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Lyseng 23%, draw 25%, Naesby 52%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Naesby) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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