PSM Makassar 0-1 Arema Malang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
26%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.78
Over 2.5
42%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
42%
+5.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.0pp
26%
Away Win
31%
-5.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.4pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSM Makassar EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Arema Malang EU Bookmakers 34%
+13% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.79/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.44
+35% / +102% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
286 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSM Makassar
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Arema Malang
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
218 Passes 253
04.02.2023 Arema Malang Arema Malang 0-1 HT 0-0 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
20.08.2022 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 1-0 HT 1-0 Arema Malang Arema Malang ENDL1
30.03.2022 Arema Malang Arema Malang 1-0 HT 0-0 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
05.09.2021 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 1-1 HT 1-1 Arema Malang Arema Malang ENDL1
16.10.2019 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 6-2 HT 3-1 Arema Malang Arema Malang ENDL1
02.10.2019 Arema Malang Arema Malang 2-0 HT 0-0 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
POST-MATCH PSM Makassar vs Arema Malang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arema Malang edged past PSM Makassar 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was PSM Makassar at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSM Makassar had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for PSM Makassar and 1.00 for Arema Malang.

What was the final score of PSM Makassar vs Arema Malang?

PSM Makassar 0-1 Arema Malang in the Indonesia League 1 on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSM Makassar vs Arema Malang?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSM Makassar win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split PSM Makassar 47%, draw 27%, Arema Malang 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (PSM Makassar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PSM Makassar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ENDL1 More Indonesia League 1
15 Sep 2024
15:00 Persib Bandung vs PSIS Semarang Analysis →