15/09/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-2
Biggleswade Town vs AFC Dunstable Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
41%
29%
Draw
24%
36%
Away Win
35%
49%
Under 2.5
41%
51%
Over 2.5
59%
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
45%
BTTS No
38%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Biggleswade Town v AFC Dunstable — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Biggleswade Town
EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY
AFC Dunstable
EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+49% /
+49%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-34%
/
–
49%
Ball Possession
51%
11
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
5
378 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
304 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
2.0
Biggleswade Town vs AFC Dunstable Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Biggleswade Town
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
AFC Dunstable
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
48%
Ball Possession
52%
7
Total Shots
10
2
Shots on Target
3
4
Corners
10
4
Yellow Cards
2
The Meetings
05.09.2021
Biggleswade Town
0-1
HT 0-0
AFC Dunstable
FAK
0-1
HT 0-0
AFC Dunstable
FAK
POST-MATCH
Biggleswade Town vs AFC Dunstable
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Biggleswade Town nicked a narrow win over AFC Dunstable 2-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 36% — and on the day Biggleswade Town made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.
What was the final score of Biggleswade Town vs AFC Dunstable?
Biggleswade Town 2-1 AFC Dunstable in the England - FA Cup on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Biggleswade Town vs AFC Dunstable?
Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Dunstable win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Biggleswade Town 35%, draw 29%, AFC Dunstable 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AFC Dunstable) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (AFC Dunstable)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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