FUS Rabat 4-0 Chabab Mohammedia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - League, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.3
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
18%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.6
No
63%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.07
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
3.81
6+ Goals
12%
16.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.07 — our 32% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
73%
-14.7pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.1pp
18%
Away Win
9%
+9.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.0pp
37%
BTTS Yes
34%
+2.7pp
63%
BTTS No
66%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FUS Rabat EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Chabab Mohammedia EU Bookmakers 11%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.17/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.32/1.41
-37% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / +15%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
420 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FUS Rabat
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Chabab Mohammedia
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2024 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia 0-1 HT 0-1 FUS Rabat FUS Rabat FAS
27.10.2023 FUS Rabat FUS Rabat 1-0 HT 1-0 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia FAS
17.06.2023 FUS Rabat FUS Rabat 2-1 HT 1-0 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia FAS
19.01.2023 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia 1-1 HT 0-0 FUS Rabat FUS Rabat FAS
04.02.2022 FUS Rabat FUS Rabat 2-0 HT 0-0 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia FAS
11.09.2021 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia 2-0 HT 1-0 FUS Rabat FUS Rabat FAS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FUS Rabat
4-0
AWAY Chabab Mohammedia
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FUS Rabat vs Chabab Mohammedia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FUS Rabat cruised past Chabab Mohammedia 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FUS Rabat as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (63%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, FUS Rabat had 58% of the ball to Chabab Mohammedia's 42%, shots finished 14-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FUS Rabat had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FUS Rabat and 0.67 for Chabab Mohammedia.

What was the final score of FUS Rabat vs Chabab Mohammedia?

FUS Rabat 4-0 Chabab Mohammedia in the Morocco - League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FUS Rabat vs Chabab Mohammedia?

Before kick-off our model rated a FUS Rabat win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split FUS Rabat 58%, draw 24%, Chabab Mohammedia 18%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FUS Rabat), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FUS Rabat) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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