Richards Bay 1-0 TS Galaxy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
41%
2.94
Away
27%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.56
Over 2.5
30%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
41%
2.39
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
5.01
6+ Goals
7%
29.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.39 — our 41% vs market 35.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
23%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.9pp
40%
Draw
30%
+10.1pp
27%
Away Win
38%
-10.9pp
70%
Under 2.5
60%
+9.5pp
30%
Over 2.5
40%
-9.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.4pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Richards Bay EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY TS Galaxy EU Bookmakers 42%
-10% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.84/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/0.76
-24% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / +120%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
270 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
15.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.4
23.4 Crosses 14.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Richards Bay
0W-3D-1L
AWAY TS Galaxy
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
0.90 xG 0.66
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
304 Passes 328
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 13
26 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 4
09.03.2024 Richards Bay Richards Bay 0-0 HT 0-0 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy GAFPSL
01.10.2023 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy 1-1 HT 1-1 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAFPSL
19.03.2023 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy 4-0 HT 2-0 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAFPSL
18.09.2022 Richards Bay Richards Bay 0-0 HT 0-0 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Richards Bay
1-0
AWAY TS Galaxy
0.20 xG 0.42
30% Ball Possession 70%
5 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
156 Passes 498
66% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 37
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Richards Bay vs TS Galaxy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Richards Bay edged past TS Galaxy 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 40% / 27% — and on the day Richards Bay made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Richards Bay had 30% of the ball to TS Galaxy's 70%, shots finished 5-14, expected goals 0.20 to 0.42.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, TS Galaxy led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Richards Bay and 1.25 for TS Galaxy.

What was the final score of Richards Bay vs TS Galaxy?

Richards Bay 1-0 TS Galaxy in the South Afrika - Premier League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Richards Bay vs TS Galaxy?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Richards Bay 32%, draw 40%, TS Galaxy 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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