Budafoki MTE 0-3 Ferencvaros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - Cup, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
9.57
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
58%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.89
Over 2.5
53%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
36%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
7%
+14.2pp
20%
Draw
14%
+6.3pp
58%
Away Win
79%
-20.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
31%
+16.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
69%
-16.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.4pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Budafoki MTE EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferencvaros EU Bookmakers 84%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -19%
0.91/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.07/1.11
+23% / +110% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -46%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Budafoki MTE
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Ferencvaros
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
34% Ball Possession 66%
5 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.04.2021 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE 0-4 HT 0-0 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
27.01.2021 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE 0-3 HT 0-1 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
19.12.2020 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 2-1 HT 0-0 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE MAC
POST-MATCH Budafoki MTE vs Ferencvaros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferencvaros cruised past Budafoki MTE 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ferencvaros as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ferencvaros led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Budafoki MTE and 3.00 for Ferencvaros.

What was the final score of Budafoki MTE vs Ferencvaros?

Budafoki MTE 0-3 Ferencvaros in the Hungary - Cup on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Budafoki MTE vs Ferencvaros?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ferencvaros win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Budafoki MTE 21%, draw 20%, Ferencvaros 58%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ferencvaros), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ferencvaros) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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