Pahang 5-1 PDRM — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malaysia - Super League, 15 Sep 2024

Pahang
5-1 HT 4-0
PDRM
📅15/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Malaysia - Super League – 2024/2025

Pahang vs PDRM Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.0
Over 2.5
44%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
51%
-9.7pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.2pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
46%
+9.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
54%
-9.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.6pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pahang v PDRM — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pahang EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY PDRM EU Bookmakers 28%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.22/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.39/1.22
+45% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -72% / +24%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
374 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
7.0 Crosses –
4.0 Yellow Cards –

Pahang vs PDRM Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pahang
2W-0D-1L
AWAY PDRM
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.37 xG 0.43
67% Ball Possession 33%
20 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
425 Passes 159
86% Pass Accuracy 68%
10 Crosses 9
The Meetings
08.11.2023 Pahang Pahang 2-3 HT 1-3 PDRM PDRM MALES
05.04.2023 PDRM PDRM 1-2 HT 0-2 Pahang Pahang MALES
12.09.2020 Pahang Pahang 2-1 HT 1-0 PDRM PDRM MALES
POST-MATCH Pahang vs PDRM
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pahang cruised past PDRM 5-1. Half-time: 4-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Pahang as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Pahang had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Pahang and 1.67 for PDRM.

What was the final score of Pahang vs PDRM?

Pahang 5-1 PDRM in the Malaysia - Super League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pahang vs PDRM?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pahang win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Pahang 42%, draw 29%, PDRM 30%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pahang), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pahang) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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MALES More Malaysia - Super League
15 Sep 2024
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