Alta 1-1 Gjovik-Lyn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.16
Draw
18%
7.78
Away
11%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
4.0
Over 2.5
68%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
11.8
2-3 Goals
40%
2.75
4-5 Goals
28%
2.3
6+ Goals
17%
3.04
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
25%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
82%
-11.4pp
18%
Draw
10%
+7.1pp
11%
Away Win
7%
+4.2pp
32%
Under 2.5
22%
+10.4pp
68%
Over 2.5
78%
-10.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alta EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Gjovik-Lyn EU Bookmakers 9%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +0%
3.77/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/3.07
+33% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -10%
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
489 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alta
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Gjovik-Lyn
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.06.2024 Gjovik-Lyn Gjovik-Lyn 0-1 HT 0-0 Alta Alta NOR3
21.10.2023 Gjovik-Lyn Gjovik-Lyn 3-2 HT 0-2 Alta Alta NOR3
29.04.2023 Alta Alta 3-2 HT 2-0 Gjovik-Lyn Gjovik-Lyn NOR3
01.10.2022 Gjovik-Lyn Gjovik-Lyn 2-0 HT 2-0 Alta Alta NOR3
01.05.2022 Alta Alta 5-0 HT 3-0 Gjovik-Lyn Gjovik-Lyn NOR3
POST-MATCH Alta vs Gjovik-Lyn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alta and Gjovik-Lyn couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Alta at 71% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (68%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Alta had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Alta and 1.40 for Gjovik-Lyn.

What was the final score of Alta vs Gjovik-Lyn?

Alta 1-1 Gjovik-Lyn in the Norway - 2nd Division on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alta vs Gjovik-Lyn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alta win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Alta 71%, draw 18%, Gjovik-Lyn 11%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alta), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alta) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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