Geylang International 5-1 Albirex Niigata S — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Singapore Premier League, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
29%
4.0
Over 2.5
71%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.31
No
33%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Geylang International win — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-7.8pp
21%
Draw
18%
+2.1pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.7pp
29%
Under 2.5
22%
+7.2pp
71%
Over 2.5
78%
-7.2pp
67%
BTTS Yes
72%
-5.0pp
33%
BTTS No
28%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Geylang International EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Albirex Niigata S EU Bookmakers 24%
-27% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.64/2.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/2.20
-8% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
556 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Geylang International
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Albirex Niigata S
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
06.07.2024 Albirex Niigata S Albirex Niigata S 0-6 HT 0-1 Geylang International Geylang International SİNP
29.09.2023 Albirex Niigata S Albirex Niigata S 1-2 HT 0-1 Geylang International Geylang International SİNK
03.08.2023 Geylang International Geylang International 1-6 HT 0-1 Albirex Niigata S Albirex Niigata S SİNP
06.06.2023 Albirex Niigata S Albirex Niigata S 3-0 HT 1-0 Geylang International Geylang International SİNP
01.04.2023 Geylang International Geylang International 1-6 HT 1-2 Albirex Niigata S Albirex Niigata S SİNP
21.10.2022 Geylang International Geylang International 1-1 HT 0-0 Albirex Niigata S Albirex Niigata S SİNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Geylang International
5-1
AWAY Albirex Niigata S
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Geylang International vs Albirex Niigata S
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Geylang International swept aside Albirex Niigata S 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Geylang International as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (71%), both teams to score (67%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Geylang International had 49% of the ball to Albirex Niigata S's 51%, shots finished 18-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Albirex Niigata S led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Geylang International and 2.83 for Albirex Niigata S.

What was the final score of Geylang International vs Albirex Niigata S?

Geylang International 5-1 Albirex Niigata S in the Singapore Premier League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Geylang International vs Albirex Niigata S?

Before kick-off our model rated a Geylang International win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Geylang International 53%, draw 21%, Albirex Niigata S 26%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Geylang International), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Geylang International) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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