Bilje 2-2 Gorica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 15 Sep 2024

Bilje
2-2 HT 2-1
Gorica
📅15/09/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.87
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
49%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.86
Over 2.5
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.85
No
44%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
22%
+2.2pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.4pp
49%
Away Win
54%
-5.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-3.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+3.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
50%
+6.1pp
44%
BTTS No
50%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bilje EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Gorica EU Bookmakers 58%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
0.83/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/0.46
-14% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +74%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
262 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bilje
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Gorica
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 0
11.11.2023 Bilje 0-1 HT 0-0 Gorica Gorica SLVN2
30.08.2023 Gorica Gorica 3-2 HT 1-2 Bilje SLVN2
21.11.2021 Bilje 0-2 HT 0-2 Gorica Gorica SLVN2
POST-MATCH Bilje vs Gorica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bilje and Gorica couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Gorica at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gorica led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Bilje and 2.00 for Gorica.

What was the final score of Bilje vs Gorica?

Bilje 2-2 Gorica in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bilje vs Gorica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gorica win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Bilje 25%, draw 27%, Gorica 49%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gorica) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gorica) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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