Sarıyer 1-1 Kepezspor FAŞ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.99
No
62%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
62%
-7.1pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.5pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.2pp
38%
BTTS Yes
46%
-7.9pp
62%
BTTS No
54%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sarıyer EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Kepezspor FAŞ EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +0%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sarıyer
1-1
AWAY Kepezspor FAŞ
67% Ball Possession 33%
16 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 0
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sarıyer vs Kepezspor FAŞ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sarıyer and Kepezspor FAŞ couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Sarıyer at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sarıyer had 67% of the ball to Kepezspor FAŞ's 33%, shots finished 16-4.

What was the final score of Sarıyer vs Kepezspor FAŞ?

Sarıyer 1-1 Kepezspor FAŞ in the Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sarıyer vs Kepezspor FAŞ?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sarıyer win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Sarıyer 55%, draw 23%, Kepezspor FAŞ 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sarıyer), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sarıyer) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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