Sur 0-1 Al Nahda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Oman - Profesyonel League, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒16:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.48
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
53%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.56
Over 2.5
56%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.19
No
47%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
12%
1/X
3%
X/1
6%
X/2
23%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
19%
+6.3pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.7pp
53%
Away Win
55%
-1.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
60%
-16.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
40%
+16.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
42%
+10.9pp
47%
BTTS No
58%
-10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sur EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nahda EU Bookmakers 58%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.03/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.62
+35% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +16%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
238 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sur
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Al Nahda
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
19.10.2023 Al Nahda Al Nahda 1-0 HT 1-0 Sur Sur UMMSK
07.10.2023 Sur Sur 2-3 HT 1-1 Al Nahda Al Nahda UMM
13.12.2022 Al Nahda Al Nahda 2-0 Sur Sur UMM
POST-MATCH Sur vs Al Nahda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nahda squeezed past Sur 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Nahda as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Nahda led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sur and 2.00 for Al Nahda.

What was the final score of Sur vs Al Nahda?

Sur 0-1 Al Nahda in the Oman - Profesyonel League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sur vs Al Nahda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Nahda win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Sur 26%, draw 21%, Al Nahda 53%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nahda) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Nahda) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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