Marathon 1-0 Atletico Choloma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 15 Sep 2025

📅15/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.18
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
7%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.33
No
50%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
48%
1/2
2%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
3%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
2%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
79%
-6.4pp
20%
Draw
15%
+4.5pp
7%
Away Win
5%
+1.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
39%
+10.7pp
50%
BTTS No
61%
-10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marathon EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Choloma EU Bookmakers 8%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
2.81/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.50
+16% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +146% / -12%
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
504 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 194 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Marathon vs Atletico Choloma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marathon edged past Atletico Choloma 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Marathon as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Marathon vs Atletico Choloma?

Marathon 1-0 Atletico Choloma in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 15/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marathon vs Atletico Choloma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Marathon 73%, draw 20%, Atletico Choloma 7%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marathon) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marathon) ✗ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HON More Honduras - National League Apertura
15 Sep 2025
02:15 Olancho vs Platense Analysis →