South Melbourne 3-1 Queensland Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - FFA Cup, 15 Sep 2026

South Melbourne
3 - 1 HT 0 - 1
Queensland Lions
📅15/09/2026 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Australia - FFA Cup – 2026

South Melbourne vs Queensland Lions Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.74
Draw
22%
3.74
Away
24%
3.78
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
2.02
Over Pick
58%
1.72
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
20%
3.87
2-3
45%
1.84
4-5
27%
3.11
6+
8%
10.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
2.33
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.2
X/1
17%
4.45
X/2
9%
8.79
X/X
13%
5.63
2/1
3%
21.9
2/2
13%
6.6
2/X
5%
15.4
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet. ★ This match carries Gold/Silver/Bronze value markets — free account to see them.

South Melbourne v Queensland Lions — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME South Melbourne The Market 57%
Signal
AWAY Queensland Lions The Market 26%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.96 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.20
1.30 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.92
– Attack Strength Weak
– Defense Strength Bad
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
365 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24
– Crosses 14
– Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW South Melbourne vs Queensland Lions
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

South Melbourne beat Queensland Lions 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had South Melbourne as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) landed.

South Melbourne vs Queensland Lions Result & Final Score

South Melbourne 3 - 1 Queensland Lions in the Australia - FFA Cup on 15/09/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

South Melbourne vs Queensland Lions Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a South Melbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split South Melbourne 54%, draw 22%, Queensland Lions 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (South Melbourne), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (South Melbourne) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →