Atletico Atlanta 1-1 Deportivo Madryn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 15 Oct 2024

📅15/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.04
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
46%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
83%
1.36
Over 2.5
17%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
27%
2.6
No
73%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
51%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
7%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
5%
X/2
17%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
22%
+1.7pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.1pp
45%
Away Win
47%
-1.7pp
83%
Under 2.5
70%
+12.6pp
17%
Over 2.5
30%
-12.6pp
27%
BTTS Yes
34%
-7.6pp
73%
BTTS No
66%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Atlanta EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Madryn EU Bookmakers 51%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+23% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
239 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Atlanta
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Madryn
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
26.05.2024 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 3-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta ARJPBN
04.07.2023 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn ARJPBN
25.02.2023 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta ARJPBN
16.04.2022 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 4-1 HT 2-0 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Atletico Atlanta vs Deportivo Madryn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Atlanta and Deportivo Madryn shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Madryn at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (83%) landed while no to both teams scoring (73%) missed.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Deportivo Madryn led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Atletico Atlanta and 2.00 for Deportivo Madryn.

What was the final score of Atletico Atlanta vs Deportivo Madryn?

Atletico Atlanta 1-1 Deportivo Madryn in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Atlanta vs Deportivo Madryn?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Madryn win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Atletico Atlanta 23%, draw 31%, Deportivo Madryn 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Madryn), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Madryn) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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