FC Tallinn 2-1 JK Tammeka Tartu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Cup, 15 Oct 2024

📅15/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-4 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
9.57
Draw
25%
6.26
Away
57%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under
32%
2.98
Over Pick
68%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
16%
2-3
32%
4-5
31%
6+
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
38%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 68%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
8%
+9.9pp
25%
Draw
13%
+12.3pp
57%
Away Win
79%
-22.3pp
32%
Under 2.5
30%
+1.7pp
68%
Over 2.5
70%
-1.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.1pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Tallinn EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu EU Bookmakers 84%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.16/0.58
+19% / +95% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +44%
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 7
260 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 517 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Tallinn
2-1
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu
31% Ball Possession 69%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 7
POST-MATCH FC Tallinn vs JK Tammeka Tartu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Tallinn edged past JK Tammeka Tartu 2-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had JK Tammeka Tartu at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (68%) came in.

On the day, FC Tallinn had 31% of the ball to JK Tammeka Tartu's 69%, shots finished 13-14.

What was the final score of FC Tallinn vs JK Tammeka Tartu?

FC Tallinn 2-1 JK Tammeka Tartu in the Estonia - Cup on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Tallinn vs JK Tammeka Tartu?

Before kick-off our model rated an JK Tammeka Tartu win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split FC Tallinn 18%, draw 25%, JK Tammeka Tartu 57%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (JK Tammeka Tartu), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (JK Tammeka Tartu) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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