Gil Vicente U23 1-4 Torreense U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 15 Oct 2024

📅15/10/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
39%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.2pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.1pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+3.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.6pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gil Vicente U23 EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Torreense U23 EU Bookmakers 39%
-53% / -53% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -44% / -44%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-100% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -43%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gil Vicente U23
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Torreense U23
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
12.03.2024 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 0-2 HT 0-1 Torreense U23 Torreense U23 PORU23
23.01.2024 Torreense U23 Torreense U23 1-1 HT 1-1 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gil Vicente U23
1-4
AWAY Torreense U23
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
11 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gil Vicente U23 vs Torreense U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torreense U23 cruised past Gil Vicente U23 4-1 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 23% / 39%) promised a tight game; Torreense U23 found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gil Vicente U23 had 54% of the ball to Torreense U23's 46%, shots finished 12-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Torreense U23 led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Gil Vicente U23 and 1.50 for Torreense U23.

What was the final score of Gil Vicente U23 vs Torreense U23?

Gil Vicente U23 1-4 Torreense U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gil Vicente U23 vs Torreense U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torreense U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gil Vicente U23 38%, draw 23%, Torreense U23 39%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torreense U23) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Torreense U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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