Lüksemburg U19 1-1 Kuzey Makedonya U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U19, 15 Oct 2024

📅15/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.8
Over
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.85
No
44%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
42%
4-5
23%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
15%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-7.1pp
32%
Draw
25%
+6.4pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+0.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
50%
+6.0pp
44%
BTTS No
50%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lüksemburg U19 EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Kuzey Makedonya U19 EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
347 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lüksemburg U19
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Kuzey Makedonya U19
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
22 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
19.11.2019 Lüksemburg U19 Lüksemburg U19 0-3 HT 0-2 Kuzey Makedonya U19 Kuzey Makedonya U19 U19
20.11.2018 Lüksemburg U19 Lüksemburg U19 0-2 HT 0-1 Kuzey Makedonya U19 Kuzey Makedonya U19 U19
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lüksemburg U19
1-1
AWAY Kuzey Makedonya U19
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Lüksemburg U19 vs Kuzey Makedonya U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lüksemburg U19 and Kuzey Makedonya U19 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Lüksemburg U19 at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lüksemburg U19 had 55% of the ball to Kuzey Makedonya U19's 45%, shots finished 8-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kuzey Makedonya U19 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Lüksemburg U19 and 2.50 for Kuzey Makedonya U19.

What was the final score of Lüksemburg U19 vs Kuzey Makedonya U19?

Lüksemburg U19 1-1 Kuzey Makedonya U19 in the European U19 on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lüksemburg U19 vs Kuzey Makedonya U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lüksemburg U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Lüksemburg U19 45%, draw 32%, Kuzey Makedonya U19 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lüksemburg U19), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lüksemburg U19) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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