Athletic Bilbao II 0-1 Osasuna II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 15 Nov 2024

📅15/11/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.72
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.65
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
4.52
6+ Goals
10%
23.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-9.2pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.4pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.2pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Bilbao II EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Osasuna II EU Bookmakers 23%
-13% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +18%
1.54/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.73
-4% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -20%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 18.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athletic Bilbao II
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Osasuna II
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
02.04.2023 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II 1-0 HT 1-0 Osasuna II Osasuna II İS3
27.11.2022 Osasuna II Osasuna II 3-2 HT 2-0 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II İS3
15.02.2020 Osasuna II Osasuna II 1-1 HT 0-0 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II İS3
28.09.2019 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II 5-0 HT 3-0 Osasuna II Osasuna II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Bilbao II
0-1
AWAY Osasuna II
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Athletic Bilbao II vs Osasuna II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osasuna II edged past Athletic Bilbao II 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Athletic Bilbao II at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Athletic Bilbao II had 52% of the ball to Osasuna II's 48%, shots finished 20-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Athletic Bilbao II had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Athletic Bilbao II and 1.00 for Osasuna II.

What was the final score of Athletic Bilbao II vs Osasuna II?

Athletic Bilbao II 0-1 Osasuna II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 15/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Bilbao II vs Osasuna II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Bilbao II win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Athletic Bilbao II 45%, draw 30%, Osasuna II 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Athletic Bilbao II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Athletic Bilbao II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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İS3 More Spain - 2nd Division B
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