Freiburg (K) 1-0 Essen-Schönebeck (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 15 Nov 2024

Freiburg (K)
1-0 HT 0-0
Essen-Schönebeck (K)
📅15/11/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - Women's Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Freiburg (K) vs Essen-Schönebeck (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.19
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
12%
X/1
6%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
3%
2/2
13%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
42%
-9.6pp
33%
Draw
26%
+6.6pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+3.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.4pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Freiburg (K) v Essen-Schönebeck (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Freiburg (K) EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Essen-Schönebeck (K) EU Bookmakers 36%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
341 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 80%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
16.0 Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards –

Freiburg (K) 1-0 Essen-Schönebeck (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Freiburg (K)
1-0
AWAY Essen-Schönebeck (K)
1.59 xG 1.15
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
365 Passes 199
79% Pass Accuracy 62%
20 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Freiburg (K) vs Essen-Schönebeck (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Freiburg (K) edged past Essen-Schönebeck (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 33% / 35% — and on the day Freiburg (K) made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Freiburg (K) had 60% of the ball to Essen-Schönebeck (K)'s 40%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.59 to 1.15.

What was the final score of Freiburg (K) vs Essen-Schönebeck (K)?

Freiburg (K) 1-0 Essen-Schönebeck (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 15/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Freiburg (K) vs Essen-Schönebeck (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Essen-Schönebeck (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Freiburg (K) 32%, draw 33%, Essen-Schönebeck (K) 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Essen-Schönebeck (K)), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Essen-Schönebeck (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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