Brisbane Roar (K) 3-0 Perth Glory (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 15 Nov 2024

📅15/11/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
18%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.29
Over 2.5
61%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
3%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
68%
-8.4pp
23%
Draw
18%
+4.7pp
17%
Away Win
14%
+3.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
40%
-1.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
60%
+1.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brisbane Roar (K) EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Perth Glory (K) EU Bookmakers 17%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.42/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.74
-41% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +86%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.5
20.0 Crosses 10.5
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brisbane Roar (K)
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Perth Glory (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.88 xG 0.81
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
336 Passes 284
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
25 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.03.2024 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 2-0 HT 2-0 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) AVUSTW
20.01.2024 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) AVUSTW
28.10.2018 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) AVUSTW
05.11.2017 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 1-4 HT 1-1 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) AVUSTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brisbane Roar (K)
3-0
AWAY Perth Glory (K)
1.74 xG 0.49
59% Ball Possession 41%
23 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
472 Passes 301
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 1
20 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Brisbane Roar (K) vs Perth Glory (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brisbane Roar (K) cruised past Perth Glory (K) 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Brisbane Roar (K) as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Brisbane Roar (K) had 59% of the ball to Perth Glory (K)'s 41%, shots finished 23-8, expected goals 1.74 to 0.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Brisbane Roar (K) and 1.25 for Perth Glory (K).

What was the final score of Brisbane Roar (K) vs Perth Glory (K)?

Brisbane Roar (K) 3-0 Perth Glory (K) in the Australia - W-League on 15/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brisbane Roar (K) vs Perth Glory (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brisbane Roar (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Brisbane Roar (K) 59%, draw 23%, Perth Glory (K) 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brisbane Roar (K)), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Brisbane Roar (K)) ✓ Over 2.5
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