Montpellier (K) 1-0 FC Nantes (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 15 Nov 2024

Montpellier (K)
1-0 HT 0-0
FC Nantes (K)
📅15/11/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
France - Women's 1st Divisioni – 2024/2025

Montpellier (K) vs FC Nantes (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
51%
-8.7pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.0pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Montpellier (K) v FC Nantes (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montpellier (K) EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Nantes (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+92% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Montpellier (K) 1-0 FC Nantes (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montpellier (K)
1-0
AWAY FC Nantes (K)
1.03 xG 0.46
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
346 Passes 279
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Box Touches 10
24 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Montpellier (K) vs FC Nantes (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montpellier (K) nicked a narrow win over FC Nantes (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Montpellier (K) as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Montpellier (K) had 54% of the ball to FC Nantes (K)'s 46%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 1.03 to 0.46.

What was the final score of Montpellier (K) vs FC Nantes (K)?

Montpellier (K) 1-0 FC Nantes (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 15/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montpellier (K) vs FC Nantes (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montpellier (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Montpellier (K) 43%, draw 26%, FC Nantes (K) 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Montpellier (K)), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Montpellier (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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