Les Herbiers 2-1 Ajaccio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 15 Nov 2024

📅15/11/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.5
Draw
23%
3.04
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.52
Over 2.5
50%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
12%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
25%
+7.4pp
23%
Draw
29%
-6.5pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-0.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
62%
-11.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
38%
+11.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.5pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Les Herbiers EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajaccio EU Bookmakers 49%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
1.30/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/0.81
+29% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +28%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
252 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 77%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
9.3 Crosses 17.0
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Les Herbiers
2-1
AWAY Ajaccio
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Les Herbiers vs Ajaccio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Les Herbiers squeezed past Ajaccio 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Ajaccio at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Les Herbiers had 53% of the ball to Ajaccio's 47%, shots finished 15-4.

What was the final score of Les Herbiers vs Ajaccio?

Les Herbiers 2-1 Ajaccio in the France - Cup on 15/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Les Herbiers vs Ajaccio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ajaccio win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Les Herbiers 33%, draw 23%, Ajaccio 44%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ajaccio)
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