Afan Lido 1-1 Morriston Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Welsh Cup, 15 Nov 2024

📅15/11/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.53
Draw
17%
4.19
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.89
Over 2.5
58%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.46
No
51%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
19%
X/2
15%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
61%
-0.8pp
17%
Draw
20%
-3.8pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+4.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
31%
+11.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
69%
-11.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
64%
-15.7pp
51%
BTTS No
36%
+15.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Afan Lido EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Morriston Town EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
369 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Afan Lido vs Morriston Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Afan Lido and Morriston Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Afan Lido at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Afan Lido vs Morriston Town?

Afan Lido 1-1 Morriston Town in the Wales - Welsh Cup on 15/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Afan Lido vs Morriston Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Afan Lido win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Afan Lido 60%, draw 17%, Morriston Town 24%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Afan Lido) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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