Telstar 4-0 VVV-Venlo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 15 Nov 2024

Telstar
4-0 HT 2-0
VVV-Venlo
📅15/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

Telstar vs VVV-Venlo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.38
Over 2.5
50%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
5.09
2-3 Goals
39%
1.98
4-5 Goals
23%
2.78
6+ Goals
11%
7.28
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.09 — our 27% vs market 15.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.87
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.4
X/1
18%
3.93
X/2
7%
12.15
X/X
10%
6.79
2/1
7%
20.3
2/2
10%
8.59
2/X
8%
16.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
62%
-9.7pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.9pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+5.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.4pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Telstar v VVV-Venlo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Telstar EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY VVV-Venlo EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +6%
1.34/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.72
-5% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
369 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
21.1 Crosses 16.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7

Telstar vs VVV-Venlo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Telstar
1W-1D-4L
AWAY VVV-Venlo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.07 xG 1.70
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
326 Passes 336
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.12.2023 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 2-1 HT 1-1 Telstar Telstar HOL2
09.09.2023 Telstar Telstar 1-2 HT 1-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
21.04.2023 Telstar Telstar 1-0 HT 0-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
23.09.2022 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 1-1 HT 0-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2
15.04.2022 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 3-2 HT 1-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2
03.12.2021 Telstar Telstar 1-3 HT 0-1 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2

Telstar 4-0 VVV-Venlo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Telstar
4-0
AWAY VVV-Venlo
2.39 xG 0.51
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
315 Passes 316
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Telstar vs VVV-Venlo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Telstar ran out comfortable winners over VVV-Venlo 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Telstar as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Telstar had 49% of the ball to VVV-Venlo's 51%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 2.39 to 0.51.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, VVV-Venlo led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Telstar and 1.83 for VVV-Venlo.

What was the final score of Telstar vs VVV-Venlo?

Telstar 4-0 VVV-Venlo in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 15/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Telstar vs VVV-Venlo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Telstar win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Telstar 53%, draw 24%, VVV-Venlo 23%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Telstar), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Telstar) ✓ BTTS No
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