Saipa 2-1 Pars Jam Bushehr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 15 Nov 2024

📅15/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
34%
2.88
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.36
Over 2.5
38%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.4
No
54%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
1.94
2-3 Goals
46%
1.89
4-5 Goals
16%
7.22
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.6pp
33%
Draw
31%
+2.4pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
70%
-7.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
30%
+7.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
38%
+8.7pp
54%
BTTS No
62%
-8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saipa EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Pars Jam Bushehr EU Bookmakers 28%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -5%
1.13/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.53
-7% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -33%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
344 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saipa
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Pars Jam Bushehr
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
6 Corners 5
08.02.2024 Saipa Saipa 1-0 HT 1-0 Pars Jam Bushehr Pars Jam Bushehr IRANK
09.11.2023 Saipa Saipa 1-0 HT 1-0 Pars Jam Bushehr Pars Jam Bushehr IRANAZ
06.02.2023 Saipa Saipa 3-1 HT 2-0 Pars Jam Bushehr Pars Jam Bushehr IRANAZ
13.09.2022 Pars Jam Bushehr Pars Jam Bushehr 1-1 HT 0-0 Saipa Saipa IRANAZ
18.04.2022 Pars Jam Bushehr Pars Jam Bushehr 0-0 HT 0-0 Saipa Saipa IRANAZ
08.12.2021 Saipa Saipa 0-0 HT 0-0 Pars Jam Bushehr Pars Jam Bushehr IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Saipa vs Pars Jam Bushehr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saipa squeezed past Pars Jam Bushehr 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Saipa as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saipa had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Saipa and 0.33 for Pars Jam Bushehr.

What was the final score of Saipa vs Pars Jam Bushehr?

Saipa 2-1 Pars Jam Bushehr in the Iran - Azadegan League on 15/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saipa vs Pars Jam Bushehr?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saipa win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Saipa 42%, draw 33%, Pars Jam Bushehr 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saipa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Saipa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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