Osaka 1-0 Sagamihara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 15 Nov 2024

📅15/11/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.92
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
48%
-11.2pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.7pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+7.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.0pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osaka EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Sagamihara EU Bookmakers 28%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -13%
1.30/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.35
-15% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
348 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 19.3
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osaka
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Sagamihara
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.05.2024 Sagamihara Sagamihara 0-0 HT 0-0 Osaka Osaka JAP3
12.11.2023 Sagamihara Sagamihara 5-0 HT 0-0 Osaka Osaka JAP3
09.07.2023 Osaka Osaka 1-0 HT 1-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osaka
1-0
AWAY Sagamihara
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
132 Passes 227
56% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Osaka vs Sagamihara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osaka squeezed past Sagamihara 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 32% / 32%) promised a tight game; Osaka found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Osaka had 45% of the ball to Sagamihara's 55%, shots finished 10-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Osaka and 1.67 for Sagamihara.

What was the final score of Osaka vs Sagamihara?

Osaka 1-0 Sagamihara in the Japan - J3 League on 15/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osaka vs Sagamihara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osaka win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Osaka 37%, draw 32%, Sagamihara 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Osaka), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Osaka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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