Ebbsfleet United 1-1 Sittingbourne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 15 Nov 2025

Ebbsfleet United
1-1 HT 0-0
Sittingbourne
📅15/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
England - FA Cup – 2025/2026

Ebbsfleet United vs Sittingbourne Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.23
Over 2.5
65%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.75
No
38%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
66%
-6.7pp
19%
Draw
19%
-0.2pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+6.9pp
35%
Under 2.5
41%
-6.2pp
65%
Over 2.5
59%
+6.2pp
62%
BTTS Yes
53%
+8.7pp
38%
BTTS No
47%
-8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ebbsfleet United v Sittingbourne — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Sittingbourne EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +75% / +75%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +75% / –
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
327 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Ebbsfleet United vs Sittingbourne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ebbsfleet United and Sittingbourne couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Ebbsfleet United at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (62%) landed while over 2.5 goals (65%) missed.

What was the final score of Ebbsfleet United vs Sittingbourne?

Ebbsfleet United 1-1 Sittingbourne in the England - FA Cup on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ebbsfleet United vs Sittingbourne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ebbsfleet United win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Ebbsfleet United 60%, draw 19%, Sittingbourne 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ebbsfleet United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ebbsfleet United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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