CD Castellon 5-4 Real Sociedad II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 15 Nov 2025

CD Castellon
5-4 HT 1-1
Real Sociedad II
📅15/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

CD Castellon vs Real Sociedad II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.34
Draw
16%
4.62
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.21
2-3 Goals
42%
1.88
4-5 Goals
22%
2.94
6+ Goals
10%
8.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.59
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
4%
19.45
X/1
22%
3.87
X/2
5%
17.15
X/X
8%
7.13
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
22.7
2/2
9%
14.85
2/X
4%
22.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.7 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
70%
-4.4pp
16%
Draw
18%
-2.5pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+6.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.4pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

CD Castellon v Real Sociedad II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Castellon EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Sociedad II EU Bookmakers 15%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -3%
2.30/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.50
+8% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -11%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
362 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 74%
37.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
25.1 Crosses 15.1
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.8

CD Castellon vs Real Sociedad II Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Castellon
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Real Sociedad II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
17.12.2022 CD Castellon CD Castellon 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II İS3

CD Castellon 5-4 Real Sociedad II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Castellon
5-4
AWAY Real Sociedad II
2.88 xG 2.89
65% Ball Possession 35%
23 Total Shots 19
8 Shots on Target 9
14 Corners 1
406 Passes 180
79% Pass Accuracy 65%
51 Box Touches 21
27 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CD Castellon vs Real Sociedad II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Castellon squeezed past Real Sociedad II 5-4. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had CD Castellon as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 5-4 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, CD Castellon had 65% of the ball to Real Sociedad II's 35%, shots finished 23-19, expected goals 2.88 to 2.89.

What was the final score of CD Castellon vs Real Sociedad II?

CD Castellon 5-4 Real Sociedad II in the Spain - 2nd Division on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Castellon vs Real Sociedad II?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Castellon win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split CD Castellon 66%, draw 16%, Real Sociedad II 19%. The final score 5-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Castellon), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CD Castellon) ✓ Over 2.5
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