Al Sharjah 1-3 Al Ain — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League Cup, 15 Nov 2025

📅15/11/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
20%
3.35
Away
47%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.33
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.31
6+ Goals
9%
12.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.33 — our 28% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.8pp
20%
Draw
26%
-6.1pp
47%
Away Win
44%
+3.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.0pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Sharjah EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ain EU Bookmakers 48%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.09/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/0.56
-14% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / +150%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
277 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 83%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.3
14.3 Crosses 22.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Sharjah
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Al Ain
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.29 xG 1.19
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
308 Passes 288
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 14
12 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2025 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 0-3 HT 0-2 Al Ain Al Ain BAE
05.01.2025 Al Ain Al Ain 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAE
30.03.2024 Al Ain Al Ain 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAE
28.09.2023 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 2-3 HT 1-1 Al Ain Al Ain BAE
27.05.2023 Al Ain Al Ain 1-2 HT 1-2 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAELK
28.04.2023 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Ain Al Ain BAECK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Sharjah
1-3
AWAY Al Ain
0.27 xG 2.06
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
335 Passes 338
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Sharjah vs Al Ain
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ain saw off Al Sharjah 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Ain as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Al Sharjah had 51% of the ball to Al Ain's 49%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 0.27 to 2.06.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ain led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Sharjah and 1.50 for Al Ain.

What was the final score of Al Sharjah vs Al Ain?

Al Sharjah 1-3 Al Ain in the UAE - League Cup on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Sharjah vs Al Ain?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ain win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Al Sharjah 33%, draw 20%, Al Ain 47%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ain) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ain) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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