Challans 0-2 Pontivy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 15 Nov 2025

📅15/11/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.8
Over 2.5
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.81
No
39%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
47%
-8.1pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.2pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.2pp
61%
BTTS Yes
51%
+9.6pp
39%
BTTS No
49%
-9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Challans EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontivy EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Challans vs Pontivy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontivy got the better of Challans 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Pontivy found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Challans vs Pontivy?

Challans 0-2 Pontivy in the France - Cup on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Challans vs Pontivy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Challans win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Challans 39%, draw 30%, Pontivy 31%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Challans) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FRK More France - Cup
15 Nov 2025
00:00 Pibrac vs Rodez Analysis →
00:00 Yvetot vs ASPTT Caen Analysis →
16:00 Avranches vs Paris 13 Atletico Analysis →
16:00 ASPTT Dijon vs Le Puy Analysis →
16:00 OCPAM vs Reims Analysis →
17:00 France D`Aizenay Football vs Troyes Analysis →