Pontarlier 2-2 Sochaux — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 15 Nov 2025

📅15/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
6.35
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
59%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
42%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
13%
+6.6pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.6pp
59%
Away Win
68%
-9.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontarlier EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Sochaux EU Bookmakers 72%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.41/1.16
-100% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -37%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
286 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 447 · 83%
7.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
8.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pontarlier
2-2
AWAY Sochaux
33% Ball Possession 67%
9 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pontarlier vs Sochaux
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontarlier and Sochaux shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Sochaux at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Pontarlier had 33% of the ball to Sochaux's 67%, shots finished 9-16.

What was the final score of Pontarlier vs Sochaux?

Pontarlier 2-2 Sochaux in the France - Cup on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontarlier vs Sochaux?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sochaux win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Pontarlier 19%, draw 22%, Sochaux 59%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Sochaux), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sochaux) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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