Racing Besançon 4-0 Thionville Lusitanos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 15 Nov 2025

📅15/11/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
5.09
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
57%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
16%
+0.0pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.3pp
57%
Away Win
61%
-4.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.2pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Besançon EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Thionville Lusitanos EU Bookmakers 66%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
273 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 451 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Racing Besançon vs Thionville Lusitanos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Besançon ran out comfortable winners over Thionville Lusitanos 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Thionville Lusitanos at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Racing Besançon vs Thionville Lusitanos?

Racing Besançon 4-0 Thionville Lusitanos in the France - Cup on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Besançon vs Thionville Lusitanos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Thionville Lusitanos win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Racing Besançon 17%, draw 26%, Thionville Lusitanos 57%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Thionville Lusitanos), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Thionville Lusitanos) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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