Excelsior Maassluis 0-4 Ijsselmeervogels — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 15 Nov 2025

📅15/11/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
20%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.29
Over 2.5
65%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
51%
+3.8pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.8pp
20%
Away Win
26%
-5.5pp
35%
Under 2.5
40%
-5.1pp
65%
Over 2.5
60%
+5.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.1pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Excelsior Maassluis EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Ijsselmeervogels EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -42% / -42%
2.16/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/3.49
+11% / +109% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -50%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
298 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Excelsior Maassluis
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Ijsselmeervogels
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.38 xG 2.27
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 10
177 Passes 397
58% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 26
11 Crosses 38
1 Yellow Cards 1
09.02.2019 Ijsselmeervogels Ijsselmeervogels 2-2 HT 1-2 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior Maassluis
0-4
AWAY Ijsselmeervogels
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Excelsior Maassluis vs Ijsselmeervogels
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ijsselmeervogels swept aside Excelsior Maassluis 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Excelsior Maassluis at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, over 2.5 goals (65%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, Excelsior Maassluis had 47% of the ball to Ijsselmeervogels's 53%, shots finished 10-16.

What was the final score of Excelsior Maassluis vs Ijsselmeervogels?

Excelsior Maassluis 0-4 Ijsselmeervogels in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Excelsior Maassluis vs Ijsselmeervogels?

Before kick-off our model rated a Excelsior Maassluis win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Excelsior Maassluis 55%, draw 25%, Ijsselmeervogels 20%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Excelsior Maassluis), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Excelsior Maassluis) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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