Institute FC 1-0 Annagh United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 15 Nov 2025

📅15/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
45%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.18
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.43
6+ Goals
8%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 31% vs market 24.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
22%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+2.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
46%
Away Win
47%
-1.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Institute FC EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Annagh United EU Bookmakers 51%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +21%
1.20/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.15/0.91
-5% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +30%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
283 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Institute FC
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Annagh United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2025 Annagh United Annagh United 2-0 HT 0-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
22.03.2025 Institute FC Institute FC 2-6 Annagh United Annagh United KİRL1
02.11.2024 Institute FC Institute FC 0-0 Annagh United Annagh United KİRL1
13.04.2024 Institute FC Institute FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Annagh United Annagh United KİRL1
13.01.2024 Annagh United Annagh United 0-0 HT 0-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
09.12.2023 Institute FC Institute FC 1-3 HT 0-1 Annagh United Annagh United KİRL1
POST-MATCH Institute FC vs Annagh United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Institute FC squeezed past Annagh United 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Annagh United at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Annagh United led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Institute FC and 2.17 for Annagh United.

What was the final score of Institute FC vs Annagh United?

Institute FC 1-0 Annagh United in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Institute FC vs Annagh United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Annagh United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Institute FC 30%, draw 25%, Annagh United 46%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Annagh United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Annagh United) ✓ Under 2.5
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