Cultural Leonesa 2-3 Gimnastica Segoviana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
23%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.8
Over 2.5
56%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.96
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
27%
3.56
6+ Goals
9%
14.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
63%
-8.4pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.1pp
23%
Away Win
15%
+8.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
52%
-7.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
48%
+7.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.2pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cultural Leonesa EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnastica Segoviana EU Bookmakers 18%
+2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.56/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/2.16
-8% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -29%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cultural Leonesa
2-3
AWAY Gimnastica Segoviana
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 9
POST-MATCH Cultural Leonesa vs Gimnastica Segoviana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnastica Segoviana nicked a narrow win over Cultural Leonesa 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Cultural Leonesa at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Cultural Leonesa had 64% of the ball to Gimnastica Segoviana's 36%, shots finished 18-7.

What was the final score of Cultural Leonesa vs Gimnastica Segoviana?

Cultural Leonesa 2-3 Gimnastica Segoviana in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cultural Leonesa vs Gimnastica Segoviana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cultural Leonesa win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Cultural Leonesa 55%, draw 22%, Gimnastica Segoviana 23%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Cultural Leonesa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cultural Leonesa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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