Hoffenheim (K) 1-0 Essen-Schönebeck (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
1.64
Draw
37%
3.8
Away
30%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.15
Over 2.5
45%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
24%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
56%
-23.9pp
37%
Draw
23%
+14.5pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+9.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
43%
+12.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
57%
-12.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.9pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hoffenheim (K) EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Essen-Schönebeck (K) EU Bookmakers 24%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
1.31/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.71
+59% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +54%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
243 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 206 · 83%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
13.3 Crosses 14.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hoffenheim (K)
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Essen-Schönebeck (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.43 xG 1.29
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
362 Passes 244
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.09.2024 Essen-Schönebeck (K) Essen-Schönebeck (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 Hoffenheim (K) Hoffenheim (K) ALKB
20.04.2024 Essen-Schönebeck (K) Essen-Schönebeck (K) 2-1 HT 0-0 Hoffenheim (K) Hoffenheim (K) ALKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hoffenheim (K)
1-0
AWAY Essen-Schönebeck (K)
2.38 xG 0.69
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
470 Passes 229
81% Pass Accuracy 69%
41 Box Touches 30
17 Crosses 21
POST-MATCH Hoffenheim (K) vs Essen-Schönebeck (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoffenheim (K) nicked a narrow win over Essen-Schönebeck (K) 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 37% / 30% — and on the day Hoffenheim (K) made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Hoffenheim (K) had 62% of the ball to Essen-Schönebeck (K)'s 38%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 2.38 to 0.69 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Hoffenheim (K)'s control.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hoffenheim (K) and 1.50 for Essen-Schönebeck (K).

What was the final score of Hoffenheim (K) vs Essen-Schönebeck (K)?

Hoffenheim (K) 1-0 Essen-Schönebeck (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hoffenheim (K) vs Essen-Schönebeck (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Hoffenheim (K) 33%, draw 37%, Essen-Schönebeck (K) 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALKB More Germany - Women's Bundesliga
15 Dec 2024
16:00 Bayern München (K) vs Turbine Potsdam (K) Analysis →