Malkiya 2-1 Khalidiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.09
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
48%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.97
Over 2.5
39%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.46
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
3.14
6+ Goals
8%
11.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 32% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
16%
+7.4pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.5pp
48%
Away Win
61%
-13.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
47%
+14.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
53%
-14.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.5pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malkiya EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Khalidiya EU Bookmakers 66%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +11%
1.22/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/0.58
+30% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +54%
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
174 · 62% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 459 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malkiya
2-1
AWAY Khalidiya
30% Ball Possession 70%
4 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Malkiya vs Khalidiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malkiya edged past Khalidiya 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Khalidiya at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Malkiya had 30% of the ball to Khalidiya's 70%, shots finished 4-9.

What was the final score of Malkiya vs Khalidiya?

Malkiya 2-1 Khalidiya in the Bahrain - Premier League on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malkiya vs Khalidiya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Khalidiya win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Malkiya 24%, draw 28%, Khalidiya 48%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Khalidiya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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