USM Alger 3-0 ASEC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Konfederasyon Cup, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.47
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.51
No
58%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.39
2-3 Goals
37%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
4.43
6+ Goals
9%
24.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
64%
-8.6pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+9.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
36%
+6.8pp
58%
BTTS No
64%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Alger EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY ASEC EU Bookmakers 15%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.42/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.34
-4% / +84% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / +5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
357 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 72%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
23.4 Crosses 20.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Alger
1W-1D-0L
AWAY ASEC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.86 xG 0.56
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
228 Passes 300
66% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 0
17.05.2023 USM Alger USM Alger 2-0 HT 1-0 ASEC CAFKK
10.05.2023 ASEC 0-0 HT 0-0 USM Alger USM Alger CAFKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME USM Alger
3-0
AWAY ASEC
2.76 xG 0.11
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 3
415 Passes 302
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 4
22 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH USM Alger vs ASEC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Alger swept aside ASEC 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had USM Alger as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, USM Alger had 56% of the ball to ASEC's 44%, shots finished 7-5, expected goals 2.76 to 0.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, USM Alger had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for USM Alger and 0.00 for ASEC.

What was the final score of USM Alger vs ASEC?

USM Alger 3-0 ASEC in the CAF Konfederasyon Cup on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Alger vs ASEC?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split USM Alger 55%, draw 23%, ASEC 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM Alger), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (USM Alger) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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