Yacoub El Mansour 3-2 Stade Marocain — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Botola 2, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.33
Draw
28%
2.77
Away
24%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.51
Over
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
38%
2-3
34%
4-5
21%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
26%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
39%
+9.0pp
28%
Draw
32%
-4.6pp
24%
Away Win
28%
-4.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.4pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yacoub El Mansour EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Marocain EU Bookmakers 32%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -10%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.46
+150% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yacoub El Mansour
3-2
AWAY Stade Marocain
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Yacoub El Mansour vs Stade Marocain
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yacoub El Mansour squeezed past Stade Marocain 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Yacoub El Mansour as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Yacoub El Mansour had 57% of the ball to Stade Marocain's 43%, shots finished 11-8.

What was the final score of Yacoub El Mansour vs Stade Marocain?

Yacoub El Mansour 3-2 Stade Marocain in the Morocco - Botola 2 on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yacoub El Mansour vs Stade Marocain?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yacoub El Mansour win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Yacoub El Mansour 48%, draw 28%, Stade Marocain 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yacoub El Mansour) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yacoub El Mansour) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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