University Of Pretoria 1-0 Leruma United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - 1st Division, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.6
Over 2.5
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.19
No
48%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-9.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+7.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
42%
+10.5pp
48%
BTTS No
58%
-10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME University Of Pretoria EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Leruma United EU Bookmakers 20%
-8% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
1.23/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/3.00
-13% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -55%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH University Of Pretoria vs Leruma United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

University Of Pretoria edged past Leruma United 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had University Of Pretoria as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of University Of Pretoria vs Leruma United?

University Of Pretoria 1-0 Leruma United in the South Afrika - 1st Division on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for University Of Pretoria vs Leruma United?

Before kick-off our model rated a University Of Pretoria win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split University Of Pretoria 48%, draw 28%, Leruma United 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (University Of Pretoria), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (University Of Pretoria) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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