The New Saints 4-1 Colwyn Bay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Welsh Cup, 15 Dec 2024

The New Saints
4-1 HT 1-1
Colwyn Bay
📅15/12/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Wales - Welsh Cup – 2025/2026

The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.16
Draw
20%
7.13
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.29
No
55%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
3%
X/X
6%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
82%
-16.0pp
20%
Draw
11%
+8.6pp
14%
Away Win
7%
+7.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.8pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

The New Saints v Colwyn Bay — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME The New Saints EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Colwyn Bay EU Bookmakers 9%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
3.91/0.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.96
+31% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / +47%
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
448 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0

The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME The New Saints
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Colwyn Bay
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
64% Ball Possession 36%
23 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
31.10.2023 The New Saints The New Saints 6-1 HT 1-1 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay GAL
29.08.2023 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 0-1 HT 0-0 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
20.03.2022 The New Saints The New Saints 1-0 HT 1-0 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay GALWK
POST-MATCH The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The New Saints ran out comfortable winners over Colwyn Bay 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had The New Saints as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, The New Saints had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for The New Saints and 0.33 for Colwyn Bay.

What was the final score of The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay?

The New Saints 4-1 Colwyn Bay in the Wales - Welsh Cup on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay?

Before kick-off our model rated a The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split The New Saints 66%, draw 20%, Colwyn Bay 14%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The New Saints), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (The New Saints) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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