Mohammedan 0-1 Mumbai City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.13
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
54%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.03
Over
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.73
No
42%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.62
2-3
41%
1.77
4-5
25%
3.04
6+
10%
10.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
5%
X/2
20%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
23%
Home Win
21%
+1.7pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.7pp
54%
Away Win
55%
-1.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
54%
+4.1pp
42%
BTTS No
46%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mohammedan The Market 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Mumbai City The Market 59%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -1%
2.51/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.03
-20% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -21%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
264 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 82%
31.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.2
11.0 Crosses 20.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mohammedan
0-1
AWAY Mumbai City
0.20 xG 1.12
35% Ball Possession 65%
4 Total Shots 16
0 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
203 Passes 482
69% Pass Accuracy 86%
7 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mohammedan vs Mumbai City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mumbai City squeezed past Mohammedan 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mumbai City as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mohammedan had 35% of the ball to Mumbai City's 65%, shots finished 4-16, expected goals 0.20 to 1.12.

What was the final score of Mohammedan vs Mumbai City?

Mohammedan 0-1 Mumbai City in the India - Super League on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mohammedan vs Mumbai City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mumbai City win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Mohammedan 23%, draw 23%, Mumbai City 54%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mumbai City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mumbai City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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