Bursa Nilüfer FK 1-2 Sebat Gençlik SK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.9pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bursa Nilüfer FK EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Sebat Gençlik SK EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +53% / +53%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% /
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bursa Nilüfer FK
1-2
AWAY Sebat Gençlik SK
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bursa Nilüfer FK vs Sebat Gençlik SK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sebat Gençlik SK nicked a narrow win over Bursa Nilüfer FK 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Sebat Gençlik SK made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bursa Nilüfer FK had 54% of the ball to Sebat Gençlik SK's 46%, shots finished 13-8.

What was the final score of Bursa Nilüfer FK vs Sebat Gençlik SK?

Bursa Nilüfer FK 1-2 Sebat Gençlik SK in the Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bursa Nilüfer FK vs Sebat Gençlik SK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bursa Nilüfer FK win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Bursa Nilüfer FK 37%, draw 26%, Sebat Gençlik SK 37%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
S3-2 More Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup
15 Dec 2024
14:00 Mazıdağı Fosfat SK vs Muğlaspor Analysis →
14:00 Silivrispor vs Amasyaspor Futbol Kulübü Analysis →
14:00 Türk Metal 1963 vs Balıkesirspor Analysis →
14:00 Uşak Spor A.Ş. vs Tire 2021 FK Analysis →
14:00 Kelkit Hürriyet SK vs Çayelispor Analysis →
14:00 İznikspor vs Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor Analysis →