Chiangrai United 3-1 Muang Thong United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 15 Dec 2024

Chiangrai United
3-1 HT 1-0
Muang Thong United
📅15/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Thailand - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Chiangrai United vs Muang Thong United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.75
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
45%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
20%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
23%
+7.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.5pp
45%
Away Win
53%
-8.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.2pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chiangrai United v Muang Thong United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chiangrai United EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Muang Thong United EU Bookmakers 57%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
0.96/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.10
+15% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -37%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
265 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 82%
14.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
13.9 Crosses 20.3
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.2

Chiangrai United vs Muang Thong United Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chiangrai United
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Muang Thong United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.13 xG 0.71
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
305 Passes 375
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.11.2022 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 3-1 HT 2-1 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United TAY
27.02.2022 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United 1-1 HT 0-0 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
17.10.2021 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 0-1 HT 0-0 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United TAY

Chiangrai United 3-1 Muang Thong United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chiangrai United
3-1
AWAY Muang Thong United
0.48 xG 0.67
30% Ball Possession 70%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
131 Passes 412
64% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 17
9 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Chiangrai United vs Muang Thong United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chiangrai United got the better of Muang Thong United 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Muang Thong United at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Chiangrai United had 30% of the ball to Muang Thong United's 70%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.48 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Chiangrai United and 1.00 for Muang Thong United.

What was the final score of Chiangrai United vs Muang Thong United?

Chiangrai United 3-1 Muang Thong United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chiangrai United vs Muang Thong United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Muang Thong United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Chiangrai United 31%, draw 24%, Muang Thong United 45%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Muang Thong United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Muang Thong United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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