AS Agareb 1-1 Sfax Railways — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.86
Draw
35%
3.11
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
Over 2.5
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.44
No
57%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
22%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
50%
-8.4pp
35%
Draw
29%
+6.3pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
37%
+6.2pp
57%
BTTS No
63%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Agareb EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Sfax Railways EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
263 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
POST-MATCH AS Agareb vs Sfax Railways
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AS Agareb and Sfax Railways couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was AS Agareb at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

What was the final score of AS Agareb vs Sfax Railways?

AS Agareb 1-1 Sfax Railways in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Agareb vs Sfax Railways?

Before kick-off our model rated a AS Agareb win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split AS Agareb 42%, draw 35%, Sfax Railways 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (AS Agareb), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AS Agareb) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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