Boulogne vs Troyes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Boulogne v Troyes — Team-Based Signals
Boulogne vs Troyes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Boulogne 1-2 Troyes — Actual Match Statistics
Troyes nicked a narrow win over Boulogne 2-1 on the road. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had Troyes as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 46% and both teams to score at 50%, coin-flips both.
By the numbers, Troyes saw more of the ball, 61% to 39%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 1.46 to 1.12.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boulogne had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Boulogne against 0.67 for Troyes.
Boulogne vs Troyes Result & Final Score
Boulogne 1 - 2 Troyes in the France - Ligue 2 on 15/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Boulogne vs Troyes Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Troyes win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Boulogne 24%, draw 27%, Troyes 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Troyes) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.