Chester 0-1 Buxton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 16 Jan 2024

Chester
0-1 HT 0-1
Buxton
📅16/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Conference – 2023/2024

Chester vs Buxton Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.51
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
4.34
6+ Goals
8%
23.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.7pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.1pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+1.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.5pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chester v Buxton — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chester EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Buxton EU Bookmakers 26%
+8% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
1.60/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.48
-6% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
400 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2

Chester vs Buxton Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chester
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Buxton
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
29.04.2023 Chester Chester 4-0 HT 2-0 Buxton Buxton İCON
24.09.2022 Buxton Buxton 0-0 HT 0-0 Chester Chester İCON

Chester 0-1 Buxton — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chester
0-1
AWAY Buxton
73% Ball Possession 27%
8 Total Shots 3
1 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Chester vs Buxton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buxton edged past Chester 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Chester at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Chester had 73% of the ball to Buxton's 27%, shots finished 8-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Chester had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Chester and 0.00 for Buxton.

What was the final score of Chester vs Buxton?

Chester 0-1 Buxton in the England - Conference on 16/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chester vs Buxton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chester win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Chester 45%, draw 31%, Buxton 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Chester) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chester) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
16 Jan 2024
23:15 Scarborough Athletic vs Boston United Analysis →