Atletico Madrid (K) 1-3 Levante (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Women's Super Cup, 16 Jan 2024

📅16/01/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.6
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
4%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
25%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.6pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.5pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-1.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.2pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Levante (K) EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
292 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Madrid (K)
1-3
AWAY Levante (K)
43% Ball Possession 57%
19 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico Madrid (K) vs Levante (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levante (K) saw off Atletico Madrid (K) 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 31% / 32% — and on the day Levante (K) made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Atletico Madrid (K) had 43% of the ball to Levante (K)'s 57%, shots finished 19-11.

What was the final score of Atletico Madrid (K) vs Levante (K)?

Atletico Madrid (K) 1-3 Levante (K) in the Spain - Women's Super Cup on 16/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid (K) vs Levante (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid (K) 37%, draw 31%, Levante (K) 32%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atletico Madrid (K)), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Madrid (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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