Juventus 3-0 Sassuolo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 16 Jan 2024

📅16/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
57%
1.45
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.07
Over
57%
1.72
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.9
2-3
36%
1.83
4-5
25%
3.18
6+
14%
10.7
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.9 — our 25% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.72
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
18.45
X/1
12%
3.53
X/2
6%
14.0
X/X
12%
6.3
2/1
9%
22.15
2/2
8%
11.2
2/X
5%
19.2
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventus The Market 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassuolo The Market 18%
Strong Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
Strong Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.90 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.27
0.82 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.95
Average Attackvs comparable teams Great
Strong Defensevs comparable teams Weak
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
383 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
20.3 Crosses 13.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventus
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Sassuolo
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.65 xG 1.18
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
386 Passes 412
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
28 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
23.09.2023 Sassuolo Sassuolo 4-2 HT 2-1 Juventus Juventus İTA
16.04.2023 Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-0 HT 0-0 Juventus Juventus İTA
15.08.2022 Juventus Juventus 3-0 HT 2-0 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTA
25.04.2022 Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-2 HT 1-1 Juventus Juventus İTA
10.02.2022 Juventus Juventus 2-1 HT 1-1 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTK
27.10.2021 Juventus Juventus 1-2 HT 0-1 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventus
3-0
AWAY Sassuolo
1.17 xG 0.27
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
385 Passes 463
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Juventus vs Sassuolo
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Juventus swept aside Sassuolo 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Juventus as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (57%) came home.

Under the surface, Juventus had 46% of the ball to Sassuolo's 54%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.17 to 0.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Juventus and 1.50 for Sassuolo.

Juventus vs Sassuolo Result & Final Score

Juventus 3-0 Sassuolo in the Italy - Serie A on 16/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Juventus vs Sassuolo Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventus win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Juventus 57%, draw 24%, Sassuolo 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juventus), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Juventus) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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